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BTA Fall Foliage Forecast

fall leaves along trail at Boyce Thompson Arboretum

Posted on October 3, 2022 By

Second to spring, fall is one of the busiest times here at the Arboretum as locals and tourists flock here to witness the pageantry of fall foliage. Some consider fall in Arizona to be the anticipated time of yearโ€“ a welcome reprieve from the long, hot summers and a transition to the shorter and cooler days of winter.

The Science Behind Why Leaves Change Color 

The science of why leaves change from green to an awe-inspiring masterpiece of yellow, orange, red, purple, and brown colors remains the same every year. Chemicals in the leaves called pigments are responsible for the color of the leaves. There are four primary pigments in leaves, Xanthophyll produces yellows, and carotene is responsible for the gold and orange color. Anthocyanins make reds, purples, and sometimes bluish hues and require bright sunlight. Chlorophyll is the green pigment necessary for photosynthesis and effectively masks the other pigments during spring and summer.

As days grow shorter in the fall, chlorophyll production begins to slow and eventually stops. It gradually breaks down, allowing the other, more colorful pigments to prevail. Other factors must also occur, including cool nights, sunny days, adequate soil moisture, and high leaf sugar content. Even then, the timing of when the best color will happen can be challenging to predict.

The Best Time To See Fall Color at BTA

Generally, peak color at the Arboretum happens within a three-week period between mid-November and early December. During this period, pomegranates, canyon hackberries, willows, pecans, and our famous grove of scarlet-orange Chinese pistache will (most likely) be at their peak color, as will the cottonwoods in Queen Creek Canyon.

Fall Color Procession at the Arboretum 

Late November is the best time for consistent, predictable color. Still, the display can begin as early as late October and extend into mid-December. Here are a few standouts to look for in approximate chronological order by color:

Yellow

Jujube, Zizphus jujube 

Vitex, Vitex agnus-castus

Pomegranate, Punica granatum

Pecan, Carya illinoensis 

Mexican buckeye, Ungnadia speciosa 

Soapberry, Sapindus saponaria var. Wrightii

Little-leaf mulberry, Morus microphylla

Canyon hackberry, Celtis reticulata 

Arizona sycamore, Plantus reacemosa var. Wrightii 

Native ash, Fraxinus velutina

willow, Salix gooddingii 

Arizona black walnut, Jugulans major

Fremont cottonwood, Populus fremontii

Orange to red

Lemonade berry, Rhus trilobata

Chinese pistache, Pistacia chinensisย 

Heavenly bamboo, Nandina domestica

River bush willow, Combretum erythrophyllum 

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